Report
Anticipating Flashpoints with Russia: Patterns and Drivers
The authors combined quantitative and qualitative modes of analysis to better understand and anticipate flashpoints with Russia.
Sep 25, 2023
Jonathan Welch is a policy researcher at the RAND Corporation who works on a broad range of defense and intelligence matters. His areas of expertise include maritime operations, joint operations, information operations, security cooperation, wargaming, and manpower issues. Before joining RAND, he served on active duty in the United States Marine Corps (USMC). In that capacity he deployed to Iraq in infantry and advisor roles, trained new officers, and served as an aide-de-camp. He then transitioned to the USMC Reserves where he trained advisors, led USMC information operations in Europe and Africa, and served as a planner for the Indo-Pacific region. He currently heads talent management efforts for the newly formed Marine Innovation Unit.
He holds a Bachelor of Engineering in Marine Engineering, from the State University of New York Maritime College and a Master of Arts in International Relations and International Economics from Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies.
James Ryseff, Jonathan Welch, Lewis Schneider, Exploring Differences in Organizational Culture within the Department of Defense (DRR-A2049-1)
Christopher Paul, Ben Connable, Jonathan Welch, Nate Rosenblatt, Jim McNeive, Conducting an Information Warfighter Exercise Wargame: Rules, Tools, and Development Processes, RAND Corporation (DRR-A495-1)
Michael Schwille, Jonathan Welch, Scott Fisher, Thomas M. Whittaker, Christopher Paul, Handbook for Tactical Operations in the Information Environment, RAND Corporation (DRR-A732-1)
Jackson, John C., Lisa M. Harrington, Jeffrey S. Brown, Bradley DeBlois, Katherine C. Hastings, Jeannette Gaudry Haynie, Duncan Long, Max Steiner, Jonathan Welch, and John D. Winkler, Assessment of Deployment- and Mobilization-to-Dwell Policies for Active and Reserve Component Forces: An Examination of Current Policy Using Select U.S. Joint Force Elements, RAND Corporation (RR-A670-1), 2023
Marquis, Jefferson P., Jennifer D. P. Moroney, Pauline Moore, Rebecca Herman, Jonathan Welch, and Reid Dickerson, Defense Security Cooperation University Expert Course of Instruction: Content, Design, Implementation, RAND Corporation (RR-A572-1), 2020
Schwille, Michael, Anthony Atler, Jonathan Welch, Christopher Paul, and Richard C. Baffa, Intelligence Support for Operations in the Information Environment: Dividing Roles and Responsibilities Between Intelligence and Information Professionals, RAND Corporation (RR-3161-EUCOM), 2020
Dunigan, Molly, Michelle Grisé, Kimberly Jackson, John J. Drennan, Sandra Kay Evans, Ashley L. Rhoades, Eric Robinson, Meagan L. Smith, and Jonathan Welch, Gaining the Edge: Identifying and Leveraging Frameworks for Enabling Army Contributions to Competition, RAND Corporation (RR-A1235-1), 2023
Wong, Jonathan P., Michael J. Mazarr, Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga, Michael Bohnert, Scott Boston, Christian Curriden, Derek Eaton, Gregory Weider Fauerbach, Joslyn Fleming, Katheryn Giglio, Dahlia Anne Goldfeld, Derek Grossman, Timothy R. Heath, John C. Jackson, Michael E. Linick, Eric Robinson, Lisa Saum-Manning, Ryan A. Schwankhart, Michael Schwille, Stephan B. Seabrook, Alice Shih, and Jonathan Welch, New Directions for Projecting Land Power in the Indo-Pacific: Contexts, Constraints, and Concepts, RAND Corporation (RR-A1672-1), 2022