The Likelihood of Violence Following the U.S. Presidential Inauguration


Brian Michael Jenkins, Senior Adviser to the RAND President

Let me talk about the possibility of violence connected with the U.S. elections subsequent to the inauguration. This doesn't end on Inauguration Day. There will be people who will be angry, people who, whatever the outcome, will feel that their candidate was robbed of the presidency, and we could see continuing acts of violence. Now, that may take longer to develop.

Looking back at the 1960s: The turbulence of the 1960s had a long tail into the 1970s when some of these larger mass movements spawned off on their extremist fringe tiny little groups that were determined to continue the campaign, but through violence, primarily bombings. We could see something like that again, probably not bombings, but some type of a continued violence by very small groups.

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