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The 1990s have witnessed the beginning of what future historians may call the Information Age. While it is clear that information will have a far-reaching effect on a host of activities--including warfare--how to quantify and measure that effect is less clear. The understanding of how to do so is important to the Army, particularly at a time when it is spending a considerable amount of its scarce investment capital to establishInformation-Age links across its forces--the so-called digitization of the Army. As it transforms itself, the Army needs analytic tools to help make the best choices possible. Chief among these tools are good measures of effectiveness (MOEs) that can demonstrate the value of information in terms of military outcomes. This document reports on a smallset of Information-Age MOEs developed in an attempt to spark the creation of many more such measures. This research demonstrates that development of MOEs is feasible, not only for combat operations but for stability operations as well.

Table of Contents

  • Preface PDF

  • Figures PDF

  • Tables PDF

  • Summary PDF

  • Acknowledgements

    Acknowledgments PDF

  • Chapter One

    Introduction PDF

  • Chapter Two

    A Probability Model of Knowledge PDF

  • Chapter Three

    Gaming Information PDF

  • Chapter Four

    Knowledge-Enhanced Lanchester PDF

  • Chapter Five

    Transitioning to the Information Age PDF

  • Chapter Six

    New MOEs for Combat Operations PDF

  • Chapter Seven

    MOEs for Stability and Support Operations PDF

  • Chapter Eight

    Concluding Observations and Potential Implications PDF

  • References PDF

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The research described in this report was performed under the auspices of RAND's Arroyo Center.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation monograph report series. The monograph/report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1993 to 2003. RAND monograph/reports presented major research findings that addressed the challenges facing the public and private sectors. They included executive summaries, technical documentation, and synthesis pieces.

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