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The Army cannot effectively project power if it cannot get to where it needs to go to confront future adversaries. The authors of this report developed scenarios and conducted political-military games to determine what strategies, tactics, and capabilities potential adversaries might use to prevent or complicate U.S. access to key areas and how effective the U.S. counters to these tactics are. After their assessment, the authors were reasonably sanguine about the ability of the U.S. to prevail in the near term, but they also identified areas of future concern and suggested several improvements, including expanding the number of in-theater bases that might be available; enhancing the flexibility and deployability of U.S. forces to more austere bases; and upgrading detection, warning, and force protection measures.
Table of Contents
Chapter One
Introduction
Chapter Two
Analytic Approach
Chapter Three
Southwest Asian Theater: An Iraq Game
Chapter Four
The Pacific Theater: A PRC-Taiwan Game
Chapter Five
European Theater: A Russia-Baltics Game
Chapter Six
Latin America and the Caribbean
Chapter Seven
What the Games Revealed About Anti-Access Threats
Chapter Eight
Toward a Strategy for Assuring Access
Chapter Nine
Conclusions and Implications
Research conducted by
The research described in this report was sponsored by the United States Army and performed by the RAND Arroyo Center.
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