An Improved Econometric Model of Metropolitan Employment and Population Growth

by John H. Niedercorn

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A description of an econometric model designed to explain the growth of employment and population in 36 of the nation's largest metropolitan areas. The model is formulated, estimated, and tested. Forecasts made with it indicate that population and employment growth will be rapid in most of these areas. Central cities will become increasingly specialized in white-collar employment, while blue-collar employment will tend to move to the suburbs. Increased commuter traffic between the central city and its suburbs is likely in a majority of the 36 metropolitan areas.

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