Calculating the Economic Impacts of the Syrian Conflict

Operationalizing the World Bank's Damage and Needs Assessment

by Daniel Egel, Eric Robinson, Joel Kline, Deanna Lee, Chara Williams

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RAND has collaborated with The World Bank to develop an online calculator that allows the user to calculate and forecast the costs of the Syrian war. The calculator combines data from the World Bank with insights from the economics literature to estimate the economic impact of destruction and infrastructure spending in seven key sectors: agriculture, education, energy, health, housing, transportation, and water and sanitation in six war-torn cities. It allows users to vary key assumptions about the extent of destruction and intensity of infrastructure spending activity, and estimates the net economic impact on the gross domestic product (GDP) of these six cities.

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