Pedro Nascimento de Lima

Photo of Pedro Lima
Associate Engineer
Santa Monica Office

Education

Ph.D. in policy analysis, Pardee RAND Graduate School; M.Phil. in policy analysis, Pardee RAND Graduate School; M.S. in production engineering, UNISINOS - Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos, Brazil; B.S. in production engineering, UNISINOS - Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos, Brazil

Overview

Pedro Nascimento de Lima is an associate engineer at the RAND Corporation. His research leverages simulation modeling, high-performance computing, and Decision Under Deep Uncertainty methods to inform health policy decision-analytic problems.

Prior to joining Pardee RAND, he was a lecturer at UNISINOS, where he taught simulation modeling and other quantitative courses. Both his undergraduate and master’s dissertations, focusing on wicked problems and decision under deep uncertainty, have received the Best Brazilian Dissertation in Production Engineering Prize from ABEPRO.

He has a B.S. and an M.S. in production engineering from UNISINOS University in Brazil, and a Ph.D. in policy analysis from Pardee RAND Graduate School.

Recent Projects

  • Comparative Modeling of Effective Policies for Colorectal Cancer Control
  • Modeling the Coupled Dynamics of COVID-19 Transmission and Protective Behaviors
  • World Trade Center Health Program Cost Projections
  • The Health and Economic Impacts of COVID-19 Interventions - State Policy Evaluation Tool
  • Emerging Technology and Therapeutics Report on Artificial Intelligence

Selected Publications

Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Robert Lempert, Raffaele Vardavas, Lawrence Baker, Jeanne Ringel, Carolyn M. Rutter, Jonathan Ozik, Nicholson Collier, "Reopening California: Seeking robust, non-Dominated COVID-19 exit strategies," PLoS ONE, 2021

Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Raffaele Vardavas, Lawrence Baker, Jeanne S. Ringel, Robert J. Lempert, Carolyn M. Rutter, Jonathan Ozik, Reopening Under Uncertainty: Stress-Testing California's COVID-19 Exit Strategy, RAND Corporation (PE-PEA1080-1), 2021

Carolyn Rutter, Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Jeffrey K. Lee, Jonathan Ozik, "Too Good to Be True? Evaluation of Colonoscopy Sensitivity Assumptions Used in Policy Models," Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers & Prevention, 2021 (forthcoming)

Raffaele Vardavas, Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Lawrence Baker, "Could Periodic Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Strategies Produce Better COVID-19 Health and Economic Outcomes?" Journal on Policy and Complex Systems, 2021

Raffaele Vardavas, Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Paul K. Davis, Andrew M. Parker, Lawrence Baker, "Modeling Infectious Behaviors: The Need to Account for Behavioral Adaptation in COVID-19 Models," Journal on Policy and Complex Systems, 2021

Raffaele Vardavas, Aaron Strong, Jennifer Bouey, Jonathan Welburn, Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Lawrence Baker, Keren Zhu, Michelle Priest, Lynn Hu, Jeanne S. Ringel, The Health and Economic Impacts of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions to Address COVID-19: A Decision Support Tool for State and Local Policymakers, RAND Corporation (TL-TLA173-1), 2020

Honors & Awards

  • RAND Silver Medal, RAND Corporation
  • Innovation Spotlight Award, RAND Corporation
  • Best Brazilian Production Engineering Masters Dissertation, ABEPRO

Languages

Portuguese

Commentary

  • Epidemiology

    Will the United States Declare Freedom from COVID-19 Too Soon?

    RAND analyzed what could happen with COVID-19 deaths in the United States if restrictions all go away on July 4. Fully reopening the economy before Biden's vaccination target was met doubled the average number of COVID-19 deaths between Independence Day and the end of the year.

    May 21, 2021

    The RAND Blog

Publications