Pedro Nascimento de Lima

Photo of Pedro Lima
Assistant Policy Researcher, RAND; Ph.D. Candidate, Pardee RAND Graduate School
Santa Monica Office


M.S. in production engineering, UNISINOS - Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos, Brazil; B.S. in production engineering, UNISINOS - Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos, Brazil


Pedro Nascimento de Lima is an assistant policy researcher at RAND and a Ph.D. candidate at the Pardee RAND Graduate School. He has a B.S. and an M.S. in production engineering from UNISINOS University in Brazil. His primary research interests are the policy-relevant applications of Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) methods.

Prior to joining Pardee RAND, he was a lecturer at UNISINOS, where he taught simulation modeling and other quantitative courses. Both his undergraduate and master’s dissertations, focusing on wicked problems and decision under deep uncertainty, have received the Best Brazilian Dissertation in Production Engineering Prize from ABEPRO. As a member of the GMAP|UNISINOS Research Group, he developed a Monte Carlo simulation R package and contributed to several applied research and consulting projects for government agencies and private clients. He is currently the communications and outreach chair of the RAND-affiliated Society for Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty and a visiting graduate student at Argonne National Laboratory.

Concurrent Non-RAND Positions

Visiting Graduate Student, Argonne National Laboratory

Recent Projects

  • The Health and Economic Impacts of COVID-19 Interventions - State Policy Evaluation Tool
  • Modeling the Coupled Dynamics of Influenza Transmission and Vaccination Behavior
  • Microsimulation of Obesity Policies

Selected Publications

Vardavas, Raffaele, Aaron Strong, Jennifer Bouey, Jonathan William Welburn, Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Lawrence Baker, Keren Zhu, Michelle Priest, Lynn Hu, and Jeanne S. Ringel, The Health and Economic Impacts of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions to Address COVID-19: A Decision Support Tool for State and Local Policymakers, RAND Corporation (TL-A173-1), 2020

Dresch A., Veit D.R., Lima P.N., Lacerda D.P., Collatto D.C., "Inducing Brazilian manufacturing SMEs productivity with Lean tools," International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management, 2019

Veit D.R., Lacerda D.P., Morandi M.I.W.M., Dresch A., Rodrigues L.H., de Lima P.N. "The Impacts of Additive Manufacturing on Production Systems," in Mula J., Barbastefano R., Díaz-Madroñero M., Poler R., New Global Perspectives on Industrial Engineering and Management, Springer, 2018

Lima, P.N., Dresch, A., Lacerda, D.P., "Do socio-economic contextual factors influence SMEs' service quality? A cross-sector and cross-city SERVPERF analysis," International Journal of Business Performance Management, 20(3), 2019

Honors & Awards

  • Best Brazilian Production Engineering Masters Dissertation, ABEPRO
  • Best Brazilian Production Engineering Undergraduate Dissertation, ABEPRO
  • Innovation Spotlight Award, RAND Corporation




  • A healthcare worker holds syringes with COVID-19 vaccines at a vaccination center, in El Paso, Texas, May 6, 2021, photo by Jose Luis Gonzalez/Reuters

    Will the United States Declare Freedom from COVID-19 Too Soon?

    RAND analyzed what could happen with COVID-19 deaths in the United States if restrictions all go away on July 4. Fully reopening the economy before Biden's vaccination target was met doubled the average number of COVID-19 deaths between Independence Day and the end of the year.

    May 21, 2021 The RAND Blog