Carter C. Price

Carter C. Price
Research Quality Assurance Manager for the Homeland Security Research Division; Senior Mathematician


Ph.D. in applied mathematics, University of Maryland; M.S. in applied mathematics, University of Maryland; B.A. in mathematics and physics, Hendrix College

Media Resources

This researcher is available for interviews.

To arrange an interview, contact the RAND Office of Media Relations at (310) 451-6913, or email

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Carter C. Price (he/him) is the research quality assurance manager for the Homeland Security Research Division, and a senior mathematician at RAND. He was previously co-director of RAND's Center for Scalable Computing and Analysis. Some of his major projects include work on the COMPARE microsimulation model to study the impact of health care reform, assessments of terrorism risk models, analyses of defense budgets, and studies of acquisition policies. He has also studied predictive policing and assessments of forest fire fighting capabilities. His project leadership experience includes studies of the macroeconomic impact of the Affordable Care Act on states, issues related to immigration fraud, trends in economic inequality, and analytic support for the Commonwealth of Virginia on COVID-19. Price has submitted testimony to the U.S. Congress and testified in front of state legislatures. His work has appeared in the Washington Post, CNN, USA Today, and the New Republic. He has a Ph.D. in applied mathematics from the University of Maryland, College Park, and a B.A. in mathematics and physics from Hendrix College. 

Recent Media Appearances

Interviews: Marketplace; Pitchfork Economics; WhoWhatWhy; WRIC-TV


  • Artificial Intelligence

    Policymaking Needs to Get Ahead of Artificial Intelligence

    President Biden's executive order on AI is a key step toward a regulatory regime that protects against AI's possible perils while balancing its potential. But more policies are needed—especially when it comes to security issues.

    Jan 12, 2024

    The Hill

  • Artificial Intelligence

    Tackling the Existential Threats from Artificial Intelligence

    Addressing potential risks posed by artificial intelligence (AI) could begin with simple steps like finding appropriate risk-management approaches, conducting research to determine how AI can better meet designers' intent, and devising responses to issues related to racism, sexism, and other biases within AI systems.

    Jul 11, 2023

    The RAND Blog

  • Artificial Intelligence

    How Should the U.S. Government Buy AI Tools?

    The need for AI-readiness in federal procurement will continue to grow with the capabilities of AI tools. There are concrete steps the government could take to ensure all development and implementation of AI-related laws, regulations, and executive branch policies include appropriate considerations.

    Jun 20, 2023

    Homeland Security Today

  • Artificial Intelligence

    ChatGPT's Work Lacks Transparency and That Is a Problem

    In a world with Large Language Models such as ChatGPT, there is a growing need for modernized data literacy. Developers need to be more transparent about their algorithms and data sources so that people can assess the inherent sources of bias or problems with the approach.

    May 8, 2023

    United Press International

  • Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

    The End of the U.S. COVID-19 Public Health Emergency: Q&A with RAND Experts

    We asked RAND experts to reflect on the past three years: What were the effects on the United States and around the world, what has changed, what are the most important takeaways, what was done right, and what was done wrong? At the same time, they looked ahead to what might be done to mitigate the health and geopolitical impacts of future pandemics.

    May 8, 2023

    The RAND Blog

  • Logistics Management

    Keep the Vaccine Moving to Save the Most Lives

    The United States is waiting to be vaccinated against COVID-19 and millions of doses wait for arms. Policymakers at the national, state, and local levels have been stockpiling the shots for many reasons. While supply ramps up, policymakers could push to deliver vaccine to people instead of freezers.

    Jan 19, 2021

    The RAND Blog

  • Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

    Will Thanksgiving Be a National Super-Spreader Event?

    Whether or not Thanksgiving will become a national super-spreader event will depend on the size of individual holiday gatherings across the country and the rate of COVID-19 cases in each community. December could be a grim month if people don't stay home on Thanksgiving.

    Nov 24, 2020

    The RAND Blog

  • Affordable Care Act

    COVID-19 Could Become a Widespread Preexisting Condition in a Post-ACA World

    The Affordable Care Act (ACA) is far from perfect, but its protections are particularly relevant to the COVID-19 pandemic. If the ACA is struck down, then protections for preexisting conditions will go with it. Policymakers should consider the potential implications for millions of COVID-19 survivors.

    Nov 4, 2020

    The Hill

  • Wages and Compensation

    A $2.5 Trillion Question: What If Incomes Grew Like GDP Did?

    Income inequality is an aspect of economics that resonates with many Americans: It feels like the rich are getting richer, while the rest are having a hard time just getting by. What would income distribution look like today if incomes grew apace with the economy?

    Oct 6, 2020


  • Data Analysis

    Modeling the Future of COVID-19: Q&A with RAND Experts

    The phrase “flatten the curve” familiarized Americans with epidemiological models used to estimate virus transmission, cases, and potential deaths from COVID-19. But new models are needed as the country enters a different stage of the crisis.

    May 26, 2020

  • Trends in Inequality and the World's Eight Richest Men

    While Oxfam reports have done a good job of bringing attention to the problem of inequality, they may lead the public and policymakers to believe that global inequality has been rising instead of falling. Global inequality has actually been on the decline while inequality within the developed world is increasing.

    Feb 10, 2017

    U.S. News & World Report

  • Wages and Compensation

    College Education No Panacea for Worker Inequality Woes

    The earnings gap between high school and college graduates has grown with each generation, but even a college degree does not ensure a good income. Just as the nature of jobs for high school graduates has been changing due to consolidation, trade, and technology, the quality of employment for college graduates is beginning to shift.

    Aug 31, 2016

    The RAND Blog

  • Fixing Inequality of Opportunity

    Research has fueled concerns about how income inequality drives inequality of opportunity. Commonsense approaches such as improvements in education and access to quality health care have been shown to provide young people with better opportunities.

    Jul 6, 2016

    Spotlight on Poverty and Opportunity

  • Medicaid

    Quick Takes: The Math of Medicaid Expansion

    Expanding Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) is both contentious and complicated. RAND mathematician Carter Price has been using the COMPARE model to help those making decisions understand what their choices mean for their budgets and population health.

    Oct 21, 2013

  • Affordable Care Act

    Data Points: Why Delay of the Employer Mandate May Not Actually Mean That Much

    The bottom line is that the employer mandate does not provide a large inducement for firms to change their health insurance offerings, but it does raise a substantial amount of money to pay for the ACA's coverage provisions over time.

    Aug 29, 2013

    The Health Care Blog

  • Tanker Aircraft

    Firefighting Aircraft: Is Bigger Better?

    An aircraft's capacity and speed largely determine the rate at which water or retardant can be applied to a fire. Very large air tankers (VLATs) certainly have the capacity to apply large amounts of fluids to a fire, but because of the distances travelled they may not be able to get a second load very quickly.

    May 20, 2013

    The RAND Blog

  • Medicaid

    Governors Missing the Point on Medicaid

    While a governor or legislator may disagree with Medicaid expansion for philosophical reasons, the claims that the expansion will be a burden on states' economies seem misguided given the full range of projected economic impacts on the states, writes Carter C. Price.

    Apr 29, 2013


  • Affordable Care Act

    Helping Obama—and Other Americans—Weigh Which Health Insurance Exchange to Pick

    Multistate plans are most likely to appeal to out-of-state students, interstate migrants, out-of-state workers, seasonal movers (e.g., “snowbirds”), and similar groups that require improved access to health care across state lines.

    Apr 1, 2013

    The RAND Blog

  • Affordable Care Act

    Modeling the Effects of the Affordable Care Act in Arkansas

    The Medicaid expansion under the ACA will result in about 400,000 people newly insured in Arkansas by 2016. Of these, about 190,000 would be newly enrolled in Medicaid and the rest would be newly insured through the new insurance exchanges. The state is likely to save about $67 million for reduced uncompensated care costs for the uninsured.

    Jan 7, 2013

  • Health Care Costs

    What Happens Without Individual Mandate?

    If the individual mandate were ruled unconstitutional, subsidies and the age structure of premiums should keep enough healthy people in the insurance exchanges to prevent huge spikes in premiums, write Carter C. Price and Christine Eibner.

    Mar 21, 2012

    USA Today