A Swedish flag is raised during a flag-raising ceremony at NATO headquarters following the accession of Sweden to the alliance, in Brussels, Belgium, March 11, 2024, photo by Yves Herman/Reuters.

Photo by Yves Herman/Reuters

Event Details

Date:

April 25, 2024

Time:

9:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m. EDT

Location:

RAND's Washington Office and Online

Register

Register Now

Program

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 was a watershed moment for transatlantic security. The United States, Poland, other NATO allies and partners, and the European Union delivered a joint and robust response to Russian aggression, providing large-scale military and economic support to Ukraine and imposing high costs on Russia in the form of unprecedented sanctions. But two years in—as Europe prepares for a long war in Ukraine and an increased threat from a reconstituted Russia—the solidarity with Ukraine and the internal cohesion of the West appear to be fraying: Allies continue to increase their defense spending and armaments production, but they are falling behind Ukrainian battlefield requirements, as well as their own sustainment needs. Ukraine’s role in the Euro-Atlantic security architecture remains unclear, despite important progress towards eventual EU and NATO membership. And a tumultuous year of domestic politics raises questions about the United States’ role in the world and in European security—a worrying prospect in an era of active strategic competition.

Please join RAND National Security Research Division (NSRD) and the Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM) on Thursday, April 25, from 9:00 a.m.-12:00 p.m. ET, for a public event to discuss why 2024 is a hinge year for assuring Ukraine’s victory and the containment of Russia. Through a blend of long-term strategic analysis and actionable policy recommendations, leading American and Polish experts, together with invited guests from other allied countries, will provide an outline for how America, Poland, and allies can assure that the rules-based international order is effectively defended in Ukraine, Europe, and elsewhere.

Agenda

Time Agenda Item Presenter
9:00am - 9:10am Welcome Remarks and Introductions to RAND and PISM Barry Pavel, Vice-president and Director, National Security Research Division, RAND
Łukasz Kulesa, Deputy Head of Research Office, PISM
9:10am - 9:30am Opening Remarks Lt. Gen. Krzysztof Król, Senior Advisor to the Chief of General Staff (CHOD), Polish Ministry of National Defense [Attending virtually]
9:30am - 10:35am Ukraine’s Immediate Needs and Future Place in the European Security Architecture Liam Wasley, Acting Deputy Assistant Secretary and Director of the Office of European Security and Political Affairs at the Department of State
Ann Dailey, Policy Researcher, RAND; Nonresident Senior Fellow, Atlantic Council
Lt. Gen. Tomasz Piotrowski, Former Operational Commander of the Armed Forces, Poland [Attending virtually]
Daniel Szeligowski, Head of Eastern Europe Program, PISM

Moderator: Stephen J. Flanagan, Adjunct Senior Fellow, RAND; Adjunct Professor, Georgetown University
10:35am - 10:50am Coffee Break
10:50am - 11:55am Reconstituted Russian Military: What Threat to NATO and How to Deal with It? Krystyna Marcinek, Associate Policy Researcher, RAND
Anna Maria Dyner, Analyst, PISM
Anna Tyszkiewicz, Deputy Director, International Security Department, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Poland [Attending virtually]
Kęstutis Paulauskas, Senior Strategy Officer, NATO Allied Command Transformation

Moderator: Marcin Terlikowski, Deputy Head of Research Office, PISM
11:55am Closing Remarks Barry Pavel, Vice-president and Director, National Security Research Division, RAND

Speakers

Barry Pavel, photo by RAND Corporation

Barry Pavel

Vice-president and Director, National Security Research Division

Łukasz Kulesa

Łukasz Kulesa

Deputy Head of Research Office, PISM

Lt. Gen. Krzysztof Król

Lt. Gen. Krzysztof Król

Senior Advisor to the Chief of General Staff (CHOD), Polish Ministry of National Defense

Liam Wasley

Liam Wasley

Acting Deputy Assistant Secretary and Director of the Office of European Security and Political Affairs at the Department of State

Ann Dailey

Ann Dailey

Policy Researcher, RAND; Nonresident Senior Fellow, Atlantic Council

Lt. Gen. Tomasz Piotrowski

Lt. Gen. Tomasz Piotrowski

Former Operational Commander of the Armed Forces, Poland

Daniel Szeligowski

Head of Eastern Europe Program, PISM

stephen flanagan, f0339

Stephen J. Flanagan

Adjunct Senior Fellow, RAND; Adjunct Professor, Georgetown University

Krystyna Marcinek

Krystyna Marcinek

Associate Policy Researcher, RAND

Anna Maria Dyner

Analyst, PISM

Anna Tyszkiewicz

Deputy Director, International Security Department, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Poland [Attending virtually]

Kęstutis Paulauskas

Kęstutis Paulauskas

Senior Strategy Officer, NATO Allied Command Transformation

Marcin Terlikowski

Deputy Head of Research Office, PISM

Questions

We will use Slido to take questions before and during the event.

To ask a question, visit:
https://app.sli.do/event/6LicxigkjbqbBWjmCfpAq5
Event code & Password: LWE

Contact

Contact Adam Wheat with questions about the event.

About RAND National Security Research Division

RAND’s National Security Research Division (NSRD) advances understanding of the world’s most pressing security threats and develops policies and strategies to help U.S. and allied government policymakers mitigate and defend against those threats. Our research priorities include deterring China and Russia—and thereby averting a worst-case, catastrophic, great-power war (i.e., WWIII); managing the risks and opportunities posed by artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and other advanced technologies; preparing more effectively for the dynamic impacts of climate change on geopolitics and U.S. military operations; strengthening alliances; and ensuring the health, well-being, and readiness of the Joint Force to execute the U.S. National Defense Strategy. Undergirding our research priorities is a deep commitment to fostering the next generation of national security strategists and policy leaders.