Limiting Regret and Deterring Russian Aggression in the Baltic States

Testimonies by Timothy Bonds and David Shlapak presented before the House Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Tactical Air and Land Forces on March 1, 2017.

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How to Build the Army America Will Need
The world has changed since 2014, when the size and capabilities of today's U.S. forces were set. As the Trump administration develops its defense policy and strategy, it must assess whether further growth in ground force size, capabilities, and posture are needed.
Mar 1, 2017
Timothy M. Bonds
What It Takes to Deter Russian Aggression in the Baltics
The United States and NATO face several challenges in deterring Russia in the Baltics. Solving these is vital to achieving core U.S. objectives in Europe. The first step is to ensure that NATO can stay in the game and deny Moscow an easy strategic victory.
Mar 1, 2017
David A. Shlapak
The Potential for Russian Hybrid Warfare in the Baltics
Russia would likely have trouble using nonviolent tactics to destabilize the Baltics. Covert violent action is also unlikely to succeed on its own. Thus, the Baltics' main vulnerability is Russia's local superiority in conventional forces.
Feb 23, 2017
Andrew Radin @andrewmradin
Rethinking Russia's Threat to NATO
A series of wargames examined the probable outcome of a Russian invasion of the Baltic states. The wargames showed that a near-term Russian invasion could reach the Estonian and Latvian capitals in less than 60 hours.
Sep 30, 2016
David A. Shlapak, Michael Johnson
The West Must Do Far More to Keep Putin at Bay
Russia is more willing than the West to use military power, even though it has less of it. The West should reconsider whether its efforts to deter Russian military interference are enough.
Aug 27, 2016
William Courtney @courtneywmh, David A. Shlapak

Researcher Spotlight

Timothy M. Bonds

Senior Fellow

Timothy M. Bonds is a senior fellow at the RAND Corporation. From 2011 to 2019, he was vice president, Army Research Division, and director of the RAND Arroyo Center. Previously, he served as acting director from 2009 to 2010, deputy director from 2003 to 2009, and director of the Aerospace…

David A. Shlapak

Senior Defense Researcher

David A. Shlapak (he/him) is a senior defense researcher at the RAND Corporation. Since joining RAND in 1982, he has led research and published on topics ranging from counterterrorism to nuclear strategy.

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Limiting Regret and Deterring Russian Aggression in the Baltic States

Learn More

How to Build the Army America Will Need

What It Takes to Deter Russian Aggression in the Baltics

The Potential for Russian Hybrid Warfare in the Baltics

Rethinking Russia's Threat to NATO

The West Must Do Far More to Keep Putin at Bay

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