Enhancement by Enlargement

The Proliferation Security Initiative

Charles Wolf, Jr., Brian G. Chow, Gregory S. Jones

ResearchPublished Nov 21, 2008

The purpose of the Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI) is to prevent or at least inhibit the spread of weapons of mass destruction, their delivery systems, and related materials to or from states or non-state actors whose possession of such items would be a serious threat to global or regional security. So far, 91 countries have officially affiliated with PSI and participate in its activities. However, five key nations, whose addition would enhance PSI's effectiveness, have so far been reluctant to do so. The authors look at the situation from the perspectives of these five “hold-out” nations — Indonesia, Malaysia, India, Pakistan, and China — to assess the disadvantages (costs) and advantages (benefits) that, when weighed against each other, have induced them to refrain from PSI affiliation. They then set out ways in which each country's costs-and-benefits balance might be altered to enhance the prospects of its deciding to affiliate with PSI in the near future. They also describe ideas that might be developed and steps that might be taken to enhance PSI's inclusiveness and effectiveness in the future.

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Wolf, Charles, Jr., Brian G. Chow, and Gregory S. Jones, Enhancement by Enlargement: The Proliferation Security Initiative. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2008. https://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG806.html.
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