Finding Common Ground in AGI Strategy Debates

A Diagnosis and Prescription

Joel B. Predd, James Baker, Benjamin Boudreaux, Edward Geist, Matt Chessen

Expert InsightsPublished Mar 9, 2026

The authors argue that there are two interdependent prerequisites for humanity to realize the benefits of artificial intelligence (AI): an ecosystem enabling human-AI coexistence in which humans retain meaningful agency, and a global security architecture that maintains enough stability among competing actors to make building such an ecosystem possible. The analysis is directed toward policymakers, strategists, and researchers thinking seriously about how to prepare for transformative AI, with the goal of channeling polarized debates into productive development of concrete strategies and architectures.

Topics

Document Details

Citation

Chicago Manual of Style

Predd, Joel B., James Baker, Benjamin Boudreaux, Edward Geist, and Matt Chessen, Finding Common Ground in AGI Strategy Debates: A Diagnosis and Prescription. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2026. https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PEA4448-1.html.
BibTeX RIS

Research conducted by

This work was independently initiated and conducted by the Center for the Geopolitics of Artificial General Intelligence within RAND Global and Emerging Risks using income from operations and gifts from RAND supporters, including philanthropic gifts.

This publication is part of the RAND expert insights series. The expert insights series presents perspectives on timely policy issues.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.

RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.