Download eBook for Free

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 1.7 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.

This user's guide describes the Total Force Blue-Line (TFBL) model, which predicts future inventory for the Regular Air Force, Air Force Reserve, and Air National Guard and accounts for interactions among them. This guide contains detailed instructions for running the model, including steps to follow, the inputs to use, how the inputs can be generated, and a list of steps for generating red-line/blue-line charts. It also provides an overview of the TFBL model and the logic behind it; descriptions of additional excursions, including a discussion of major airline hiring excursions and the impact of major airline hiring on the Air Force Total Force blue-line projections; and detailed and specific information on the input data and the output files. Finally, the appendix contains an exhaustive list of all versions of data created or used in all previous model runs for completeness and for reproducibility.

Research conducted by

The research reported here was sponsored by the Air Force Director of Future Operations (AF/A3X) and Director of Military Force Management Policy (AF/A1P) and conducted by the Manpower, Personnel, and Training Program within RAND Project AIR FORCE.

This report is part of the RAND tool series. RAND tools may include models, databases, calculators, computer code, GIS mapping tools, practitioner guidelines, web applications, and various toolkits. All RAND tools undergo rigorous peer review to ensure both high data standards and appropriate methodology in keeping with RAND's commitment to quality and objectivity.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.

RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.