Global Security

Security Cooperation
commentary
A Taiwan Contingency and Japan's Counterstrike Debate
Scott W. Harold @ScottWHarold, Satoru Mori
Jul 23, 2021
The Diplomat
The United States and Japan could be drawn into a conflict in the event of Chinese aggression against Taiwan whether they like it or not. Allied defense planning could consider how Japan might further reinforce deterrence and if necessary improve its ability to contribute to the common defense.
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Afghanistan
commentary
China and the Taliban Begin Their Romance
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jul 22, 2021
Foreign Policy
The upcoming U.S. troop withdrawal from Afghanistan will remove the most formidable obstacle to total Taliban takeover of the country. China is set to benefit significantly if the Taliban come to power again. It is worth following this dynamic closely in the coming weeks and months.
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Oceania
commentary
America's Strategy in Oceania: Time for a Better Approach
Jennifer D. P. Moroney @jdpmoroney, Alan Tidwell
Jul 19, 2021
War on the Rocks
China has moved in earnest to engage with Oceania, while the United States is vying to get a toehold in the region. To develop an effective strategy for engaging there, Washington could seek guidance from key allies to better understand their experience, lessons, and efforts already underway.
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North Atlantic Treaty Organization
commentary
Mind the Gap
Scott Savitz
Jul 15, 2021
Defense One
For decades, NATO forces have used nearby bases to keep tabs on Russian submarines, surface ships, and aircraft transiting the Greenland-Iceland-United Kingdom Gap. Strong independence movements in Greenland, the Faroe Islands, and Scotland could soon jeopardize this position.
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Nuclear Deterrence
commentary
Can China Be a Real Partner in Bringing North Korea to the Nuclear Negotiating Table?
Soo Kim @mllesookim
Jul 14, 2021
The National Interest
The United States remains committed to the goal of denuclearization of North Korea. China is more interested in maintaining a delicate geopolitical balance to counter U.S. influence in the region and in expanding its own reach. Thus, prospects for productive U.S.-China cooperation on the North Korean nuclear threat seem faint at best.
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Nuclear Deterrence
commentary
North Korean Nuclear Weapons Pose an Existential Threat to China
Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett, Diana Y. Myers
Jul 13, 2021
The National Interest
Despite the current border closures between their two countries, China and North Korea remain resolutely pledged to a “blood-alliance.” But this partnership has vastly different implications depending on which side of the border you consider.
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Racial Equity
blog
Equity in Research, North Korean Instability, Traffic Stops: RAND Weekly Recap
Jul 9, 2021
This weekly recap focuses on how RAND applies an equity lens to research, instability in North Korea, what police think about traffic stops, and more.
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Syria
commentary
The Power and Limits of Threat: The Caesar Syrian Civilian Protection Act at One Year
Howard J. Shatz @HowardJShatz
Jul 8, 2021
RealClearDefense
A powerful new U.S. sanctions law on Syria came into effect one year ago, with great notice and speculation regarding its potential effects. Now, one year later, it is apparent that the act's power lies not in who the United States has sanctioned but in who the United States could sanction.
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China
commentary
What Xi Jinping's Communist Party Valedictory Speech Can Tell Us About His Conception of China and Its Role in the World
Scott W. Harold @ScottWHarold
Jul 7, 2021
The Hill
On July 1, Xi Jinping commemorated the 100th anniversary of the founding of the Chinese Communist Party by laying out a vision of China's future. What can Xi's speech, redolent with imagery of righteous struggle against foreign oppressors, tell us about where China's top leader sees his country's relationship with the world heading?
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Biden's Troubled Southeast Asia Policy Needs a Reboot
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jul 6, 2021
Nikkei Asia
Nearly six months into Joe Biden's presidency, it is now possible to begin assessing the effectiveness of some of his administration's policies. When it comes to Southeast Asia, the Biden administration has thus far fallen short, but the future looks relatively bright with certain caveats.
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Nation Building
commentary
Donald Rumsfeld: Anti–Nation-Builder
James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Jul 6, 2021
The Hill
As Secretary of Defense, Donald Rumsfeld repeatedly resisted U.S. military participation in nation-building–type operations. Even as the United States terminates the last of those nation-building missions, that in Afghanistan, it is worth reflecting on these experiences.
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North Korea
commentary
Trying to Manage North Korean Instability Risks
Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett
Jun 30, 2021
The National Interest
The regime in North Korea usually makes extreme efforts to prevent outsiders and even its own people from seeing instabilities there. But Kim Jong-un appears to be taking some risks trying to solidify his grip in the wake of events undermining his control.
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China
commentary
The Signal and the Noise: Understanding China's Military Threats
Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga
Jun 29, 2021
The Diplomat
Although China's capabilities and communication channels have changed, its fundamental approach to military deterrence signaling as a form of political coercion has not. As Australia-China relations enter a new, more confrontational era, Canberra is likely to be an increasingly frequent target of Chinese deterrence signaling.
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Teachers and Teaching
blog
Stress Among U.S. Teachers, Russia's Global Interests, Investing in Equity: RAND Weekly Recap
Jun 18, 2021
This weekly recap focuses on job-related stress among U.S. public school teachers, Russia's global interests, promoting social equity through infrastructure investments, and more.
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Indonesia
commentary
Indonesia Is Quietly Warming Up to China
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jun 7, 2021
Foreign Policy
Improving China-Indonesia relations could have profound geostrategic significance for the United States. Washington may want to focus on assistance that would benefit Indonesia itself, not just the United States in its competition with China.
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South Korea
commentary
The Biden-Moon Meetings: Much Ado About Something?
Rafiq Dossani
Jun 4, 2021
The RAND Blog
The May summit meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and South Korean President Moon Jae-in elicited a wide range of opinion about its value. With diplomacy-first progressives in power simultaneously in both nations for the first time in two decades, even subtle gains may be significant.
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Defense Acquisition in Russia and China

How Does Telehealth Affect Health Care Quality, Access, Equity, and Costs?

Can China Be a Real Partner in Bringing North Korea to the Nuclear Negotiating Table?

North Korean Nuclear Weapons Pose an Existential Threat to China

Digital Technologies to Improve Health and Care

The Policy Currents Podcast

Developing Strategies for Summer Learning

Improving Psychological Wellbeing and Work Outcomes in the UK

Helping Coastal Communities Plan for Climate Change

Getting to Know Military Caregivers and Their Needs

Global Security

A Taiwan Contingency and Japan's Counterstrike Debate

China and the Taliban Begin Their Romance

America's Strategy in Oceania: Time for a Better Approach

Mind the Gap

Can China Be a Real Partner in Bringing North Korea to the Nuclear Negotiating Table?

North Korean Nuclear Weapons Pose an Existential Threat to China

Equity in Research, North Korean Instability, Traffic Stops: RAND Weekly Recap

The Power and Limits of Threat: The Caesar Syrian Civilian Protection Act at One Year

What Xi Jinping's Communist Party Valedictory Speech Can Tell Us About His Conception of China and Its Role in the World

Biden's Troubled Southeast Asia Policy Needs a Reboot

Donald Rumsfeld: Anti–Nation-Builder

Trying to Manage North Korean Instability Risks

The Signal and the Noise: Understanding China's Military Threats

Stress Among U.S. Teachers, Russia's Global Interests, Investing in Equity: RAND Weekly Recap

Indonesia Is Quietly Warming Up to China

The Biden-Moon Meetings: Much Ado About Something?

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