Iran

International Diplomacy
commentary
Why Israel-UAE Deal Doesn't Merit the Hype
Dalia Dassa Kaye
Aug 18, 2020
Al-Monitor
Some have called the Israel-UAE normalization agreement a geopolitical earthquake. But the hyperbole is not warranted; this deal is unlikely to be a strategic game changer in the Middle East.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
What to Watch to Understand the Sino-Iranian Relationship
Colin P. Clarke, Mollie Saltskog
Aug 13, 2020
Lawfare
Beijing and Tehran are in the process of finalizing an ambitious partnership covering a range of security and economic issues. The United States should not overreact to shifting geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East, and should instead keep an eye out to assess the evolution of the relationship and take stock of what is delivered instead of what is merely promised.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Can America Weaken the Russia-Iran Axis?
Colin P. Clarke, William Courtney @courtneywmh
Jul 31, 2020
Newsweek
America's slow-motion retreat in Syria could embolden Iran and Russia and perhaps lead them to underestimate U.S. resolve to protect its interests in the Middle East. Clearer U.S. priorities and more deliberate engagement could reduce risk and help avoid miscalculation.
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Summer Learning
blog
COVID Learning Loss, Russian Trolls, Artificial Intelligence: RAND Weekly Recap
Jul 17, 2020
This weekly recap focuses on helping students recover learning losses, fighting Russian trolls, racial disparity in unemployment benefits, the race for AI leadership, and more.
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Low-Intensity Conflict
commentary
An Israeli Escalation Against Iran?
Dalia Dassa Kaye
Jul 15, 2020
The Washington Post Monkey Cage Blog
Israeli involvement in recent attacks on Iran would not be surprising, and more such attacks might be coming. However, Israel's bet that the Iranians will not respond is risky. It's hard to control escalation when things are so volatile, especially as hardline Iranian leaders may increase pressure to retaliate.
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Peacekeeping and Stability Operations
commentary
Competition in Iraq
Ben Connable, James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Jun 5, 2020
Rudaw
Tensions between the United States and Iran reached a boiling point in January 2020, when Iranian-backed forces attacked U.S. military and diplomatic facilities on Iraqi soil, and the United States retaliated. Policymakers and experts again asked: Why are we in Iraq? What would happen if we left, and why would it matter?
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Iran
commentary
Does the U.S. Deal with the Taliban Present Opportunities for Iran in Afghanistan?
Colin P. Clarke, Ariane M. Tabatabai
Apr 6, 2020
Defense One
Iran is watching closely as the United States and the Taliban negotiate an end to America's operations in Afghanistan. If the expected withdrawal of significant U.S. forces destabilizes Afghanistan, how much will Tehran assert its influence over its neighbor to the east?
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Maternal Health
blog
Infectious Diseases, Zimbabwe, Students with Disabilities: RAND Weekly Recap
Feb 14, 2020
This weekly recap focuses on the U.S. response to infectious diseases, Zimbabwe after Mugabe, the support for students with disabilities, and more.
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Education Reform
blog
Community Schools, Brexit, Coronavirus: RAND Weekly Recap
Jan 31, 2020
This weekly recap focuses on the promise of community schools, the costs of uncertainty after Brexit, the coronavirus, and more.
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Wildfires
blog
Australia's Fires, Artificial Intelligence, Fentanyl: RAND Weekly Recap
Jan 24, 2020
This weekly recap focuses on Australia's devastating fires, how artificial intelligence could manipulate the masses, the fentanyl crisis, and more.
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Low-Intensity Conflict
commentary
The Politics of Man-Hunting and the Illusion of Victory
Raphael S. Cohen
Jan 22, 2020
War on the Rocks
Captures and strikes are important accomplishments and the countless nameless professionals who carry them out deserve the credit for executing them. But leaders are charged with something larger and should be judged by a higher standard: namely, seeing beyond the illusion and producing actual strategic victories.
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Iran
commentary
Iran Claws Back Its Regional Influence
Jordan R. Reimer @Jordan_R_Reimer
Jan 17, 2020
The World Post
Last year, Iran faced protests at home as well as in Iraq and Lebanon, where thousands rallied against Tehran's regional hegemony. But with its recent machinations and the fallout over the killing of Soleimani, Iran has succeeded in changing the regional conversation.
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Iran
blog
Iran, Mental Health and Jail, Russia: RAND Weekly Recap
Jan 10, 2020
This weekly recap focuses on Iran and Iraq following the death of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani, supporting those experiencing mental illness in jails, Russia's hostile measures, and more.
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Iran
commentary
How Will Iran Respond to Soleimani's Killing—and Where Will the Escalation End?
Elisa Catalano Ewers, Ariane M. Tabatabai
Jan 7, 2020
The Washington Post Monkey Cage Blog
Iranian Maj. Gen. Qasem Soleimani's death will reverberate in the Middle East region for a long time. The United States must know its end game and be able to respond to this changing landscape of its own making, without stumbling into another full-fledged conflict that the Trump administration itself, Congress, and the American people have said they do not want.
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Iraq
commentary
Baghdad Siege Wasn't Benghazi, and Never Will Be
Raphael S. Cohen
Jan 6, 2020
Fox News Channel
Given the heightened tension between the United States and Iran and the ongoing instability in Iraq, the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad may very well be attacked again. If such an attack were to be successful, it would be more akin to the fall of the U.S. Embassy in Saigon than the U.S. mission in Benghazi.
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Iraq
commentary
Iraq's Vote to Expel U.S. Troops Is Iran's True Victory
Ben Connable
Jan 6, 2020
Los Angeles Times
If American soldiers are ejected from Iraq, the consequences may be far-reaching and damaging to U.S. strategic interests. What options remain to reset the relationship between Washington and Baghdad?
Read More »

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Iran

Why Israel-UAE Deal Doesn't Merit the Hype

What to Watch to Understand the Sino-Iranian Relationship

Can America Weaken the Russia-Iran Axis?

COVID Learning Loss, Russian Trolls, Artificial Intelligence: RAND Weekly Recap

An Israeli Escalation Against Iran?

Competition in Iraq

Does the U.S. Deal with the Taliban Present Opportunities for Iran in Afghanistan?

Infectious Diseases, Zimbabwe, Students with Disabilities: RAND Weekly Recap

Community Schools, Brexit, Coronavirus: RAND Weekly Recap

Australia's Fires, Artificial Intelligence, Fentanyl: RAND Weekly Recap

The Politics of Man-Hunting and the Illusion of Victory

Iran Claws Back Its Regional Influence

Iran, Mental Health and Jail, Russia: RAND Weekly Recap

How Will Iran Respond to Soleimani's Killing—and Where Will the Escalation End?

Baghdad Siege Wasn't Benghazi, and Never Will Be

Iraq's Vote to Expel U.S. Troops Is Iran's True Victory

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