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Iran

Security Cooperation
commentary
Time to Make a Deal on Syria
Samuel Charap @scharap, Jeffrey Martini
Jul 10, 2018
Foreign Policy
U.S. leverage is much diminished by the Assad regime's recent gains but there are still opportunities for Washington and Russia to achieve a settlement that preserves some U.S. interests. These include maintaining the gains made against the Islamic State and constraining Iranian influence in Syria.
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U.S.-European Relations
commentary
Assessing Transatlantic Fallout After the U.S. Withdrawal from the Iran Nuclear Deal
James Hoobler
May 31, 2018
American Institute for Contemporary German Studies
The U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal has set off another round of reflection on the state and future of the transatlantic alliance. Though this dispute may not in itself lead to a full breach in the transatlantic relationship, it joins a growing list of sharp disagreements impacting U.S. alliances.
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International Economic Relations
commentary
Regime Appears Fragile as Iranians Turn Much of Their Ire Inward
Richard C. Baffa @R_Baffa, Nathan Vest
May 21, 2018
The Hill
Economic hardship is fueling unrest in Iran. New sanctions stemming from the U.S. withdrawal from the nuclear deal may exacerbate already difficult conditions. Now might be the time to exert maximum pressure on the regime in an effort to bring Tehran back to the negotiating table.
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U.S.-European Relations
commentary
The Strategic Fallout of U.S. Withdrawal from the Iran Deal
Dalia Dassa Kaye @dassakaye
May 10, 2018
The Hill
President Trump withdrew from the Iran nuclear agreement. What will happen next? Friction between the United States and its European allies will likely increase, while Iran moves closer to China and Russia. Also, the resentment of a new generation of Iranians toward America is likely to grow.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
The U.S. Is Out of the Iran Deal. What Now?
James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
May 9, 2018
Reuters
Abandoning the nuclear agreement with Iran isolates the United States, reneges on an American commitment, adds to the risk of a trade war with U.S. allies and a hot war with Iran, and diminishes the prospects of an agreement to eliminate the North Korean threat.
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Arms Proliferation and Control
commentary
Iran: The Nuclear Agreement Will Survive, at Least for Now
Richard C. Baffa @R_Baffa
Apr 4, 2018
The Hill
A U.S. unilateral withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal does not necessarily mean the deal will collapse. But a broader collapse of the agreement along with the imposition of harsh sanctions in the coming months could sharply escalate tensions with Iran.
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Nuclear Deterrence
commentary
What Does Japan Think of the Iran Nuclear Deal?
Scott W. Harold @ScottWHarold
Mar 26, 2018
The Diplomat
What is Tokyo's view of the Iran nuclear deal and how has Tokyo responded to the U.S. threat to withdraw from it? What role is Japan, the world's third-largest economy, a major U.S. ally, and the only country ever to be attacked with nuclear weapons, likely to play in attempting to preserve, improve, or scrap the deal?
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Can Europe Save the Iran Nuclear Deal?
Dalia Dassa Kaye @dassakaye, James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Mar 12, 2018
Reuters
In mid-January, President Trump threatened to withdraw from the Iran agreement if Europe does not “fix” it within four months. There are viable steps Europe could take to address Trump's concerns about the deal — on missile development, inspections, and sunset clauses. However, if the U.S. withdraws, Europe could still work with other international powers to keep the deal alive.
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Israel
commentary
Israel Prepares to Take on Iran and Hezbollah in Syria
Richard C. Baffa @R_Baffa
Feb 19, 2018
Newsweek
Clashes between Israeli, Iranian, and Syrian forces have injected new volatility into the Middle East. This increases the likelihood of miscalculation and escalatory military action across the region.
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Iran
commentary
Counteracting Iran's Gray Zone Strategy in Syria
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke
Jan 25, 2018
Lawfare
Iran is extending its influence throughout Syria as the Islamic State's influence declines. To counter Iranian efforts and the inevitable similar actions of other countries, the United States should dedicate significant resources to crafting its own strategy to prevent Tehran from taking advantage of the current conflict and humanitarian crisis.
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Political Reform Movements
commentary
Unrest in Iran: An Opportunity for Democratic Change
Richard C. Baffa @R_Baffa
Jan 14, 2018
U.S. News & World Report
As the unrest that began in Iran on Dec. 28 begins to wane following a crackdown, it is difficult to assess what may come next. But this is not the first time Iranians have come out on the streets to protest and challenge authoritarian rule, nor will it be the last; the Iranian people have a long history of seeking a democratic political order.
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Political Reform Movements
commentary
Iran's Efforts to Create Instability Abroad Have Led to Protests at Home
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke, William Courtney @courtneywmh
Jan 12, 2018
The National Interest
Iran has spent billions of dollars in its quest to be a regional leader, but its main achievement has been to spark instability across a wide swath of the Middle East. Ordinary Iranians are struggling and protesters are urging a retreat from costly foreign fights and more aid at home.
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Iran
commentary
Why the Iranian Uprising Won't Die
Alireza Nader
Jan 8, 2018
Politico
The Iran uprising of 2017 is the biggest challenge Iran's theocracy has ever faced. And now, Iranians are no longer contained by the wall of fear created by the Islamic Republic.
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Threat Assessment
commentary
Where Is Assad Getting His Fighters from? (It's Not Just Lebanon and Iraq)
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke, Phillip Smyth
Jan 4, 2018
The National Interest
The Assad regime's defense against insurgents in Syria's ongoing civil war is being provided by forces imported from Afghanistan and Pakistan as well as Lebanon and Iraq. Most of these fighters are being trained and equipped by Iran. Could this network of foreign fighters help Iran establish a greater presence beyond the Middle East?
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Saudi Arabia
commentary
Saudi Arabia and Iran May Be Headed Toward War
Alireza Nader
Nov 13, 2017
Atlantic Council
America should encourage Tehran and Riyadh to settle their differences, not facilitate aggressive Saudi action. Otherwise, the region will be plunged into an even bigger crisis—without an end in sight.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Saudi Shakeup Gives the U.S. an Opening with Iran
Amir Handjani, Alireza Nader
Nov 13, 2017
Bloomberg
If Saudi Arabia forces a showdown with Iran, the U.S. will find itself in the middle of it. Washington and Tehran need to come to an understanding so as not to further inflame the region. Demonizing Iran for all the ills of the Middle East is counterproductive and will lead to further escalation.
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Iran

Time to Make a Deal on Syria

Assessing Transatlantic Fallout After the U.S. Withdrawal from the Iran Nuclear Deal

Regime Appears Fragile as Iranians Turn Much of Their Ire Inward

The Strategic Fallout of U.S. Withdrawal from the Iran Deal

The U.S. Is Out of the Iran Deal. What Now?

Iran: The Nuclear Agreement Will Survive, at Least for Now

What Does Japan Think of the Iran Nuclear Deal?

Can Europe Save the Iran Nuclear Deal?

Israel Prepares to Take on Iran and Hezbollah in Syria

Counteracting Iran's Gray Zone Strategy in Syria

Unrest in Iran: An Opportunity for Democratic Change

Iran's Efforts to Create Instability Abroad Have Led to Protests at Home

Why the Iranian Uprising Won't Die

Where Is Assad Getting His Fighters from? (It's Not Just Lebanon and Iraq)

Saudi Arabia and Iran May Be Headed Toward War

Saudi Shakeup Gives the U.S. an Opening with Iran

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