In January 1993, RAND’s National Defense Research Institute was asked by the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition to compare the practicality and cost of two approaches to future submarine production: (1) allowing production to shut down as currently programmed submarines are finished, then restarting it when more are needed, and (2) continuing low-rate production. The research was motivated by concerns that the submarine production base might not be easily reconstituted if production is shut down and by the countervailing recognition that deferring new submarine starts might yield substantial savings, particularly over the short term. This report is a summary of RAND’s analysis, the results obtained, and the associated uncertainties. The reader should bear in mind, of course, that in a summary such as this, completeness and precision are in some degree sacrificed to brevity. A full treatment of methods and results appears in MR-456-OSD.
The research described in this report was sponsored by the Office of the Secretary of Defense under RAND’s National Defense Research Institute, a federally funded research and development center supported by the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the Joint Staff, and the defense agencies.
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