Cover: Projected Use, Emissions, and Banks of Potential Ozone-Depleting Substances

Projected Use, Emissions, and Banks of Potential Ozone-Depleting Substances

Published 1986

by Timothy H. Quinn, Kathleen A. Wolf, W. E. Mooz, James K. Hammitt, Syam Sarma, Thomas W. Chesnutt

Download

Download eBook for Free

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 6.2 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.

Purchase

Purchase Print Copy

 Format Price
Add to Cart Paperback159 pages $40.00

In recent years, there has been growing concern that the release of certain synthetic chemicals, including the chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), may contribute to the depletion of the earth's protective stratospheric ozone layer. This Note examines, from an economic perspective, the forces that will shape long-term emission profiles for seven chemicals, including the two major CFCs, suspected of contributing to potential ozone depletion. The study adopts a long time frame for analysis, simulating emission profiles from 1980 through 2075. The findings indicate that under no circumstances do zero growth assumptions appear to be a reasonable basis for calculating long-term emission profiles. Moreover, growth rates in production and emissions of these chemicals will probably be higher in the next few decades than in the more distant future. Holding other things constant, this will tend to increase expected ozone depletion relative to model results obtained by making unrealistic steady-state emissions estimates. The authors emphasize the need for further research on this policy issue.

This report is part of the RAND note series. The note was a product of RAND from 1979 to 1993 that reported other outputs of sponsored research for general distribution.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.

RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.