Projections of Consumption of Products Using Chlorofluorocarbons in Developing Countries

by Daniel F. Kohler, John Haaga, Frank Camm

Download

Download eBook for Free

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 3.4 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.

Purchase

Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback81 pages $25.00 $20.00 20% Web Discount

This Note reports results from research on likely future emissions of potential ozone-depleting substances. It deals with products that either contain chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) or emit CFCs during production, examines the way in which developing countries have actually used these products, and examines the relationship of this use to income. Based on this relationship, it then projects the future use of such products in the developing world. Nonlinear statistical models are used to relate levels of automobile and refrigerator ownership, imports of air conditioning machinery, and annual use of CFCs in aerosol applications to gross national product (GNP) per capita. With population forecasts and various assumptions about medium-term growth of GNP per capita, these models are used to project consumption of these products, and the derived demand for CFCs, in individual developing countries in the year 2000.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Note series. The note was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1979 to 1993 that reported other outputs of sponsored research for general distribution.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.