Report
A Framework for Assessing Models of the COVID-19 Pandemic to Inform Policymaking in Virginia
Jul 8, 2020
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As of August 24, 2020, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic had resulted in the deaths of approximately 2,500 Virginians. The 2020 hurricane season began June 1 and is considered to be extremely active. The threat of the pandemic increases the complexity of risk management decisions during the hurricane season. In this report, the authors study the implications that a hurricane during the COVID-19 pandemic would have for the Commonwealth of Virginia. This analysis should help inform advance planning for the hurricane season in general and could be used in response to a specific storm with an estimated track through Virginia. The authors focus on the combined impacts of COVID-19 and a hurricane on morbidity and mortality; they do not examine other effects, such as effects on infrastructure, social networks, and the economy.
Chapter One
Introduction
Chapter Two
Risk Framework
Chapter Three
Data and Methods
Chapter Four
Results and Sensitivity
Chapter Five
Conclusions
Appendix
Select Models in Use by Emergency Managers
This research was funded by the Virginia Department of Emergency Management and carried out within the Access and Delivery Program in RAND Health Care and the Community Health and Environmental Policy Program within RAND Social and Economic Well-Being.
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