Sale Lilly

Where Chinese Science Fiction and RAND History Meet

Senior policy analyst Sale Lilly read about renowned RAND researcher Bill Mathers in an award-winning Chinese science fiction trilogy—but somehow had never heard of him before.

Cryptocurrency Should Be Added to the U.S.-Japan Trade Deal

As the Biden administration begins to define its approach to international trade, and the Suga administration looks to further tighten cooperation with the United States, it may be worth reconsidering the exclusion of cryptocurrency from the U.S.-Japan trade deal. Substantial economic equities are at stake for both sides.

Hong Kong's Digital Protests: Blizzard Case Could Be a Warning for Fortune 500 Companies

Blizzard-Activision recently found itself drawn into the political controversy surrounding the Hong Kong protests. The experience could serve as a warning for other companies that could find themselves plunged into crisis-management mode by world events.

Report

Disrupting the Chinese Military in Competition and Low-Intensity Conflict: An Analysis of People's Liberation Army Missions, Tasks, and Potential Vulnerabilities

The authors (1) identify tasks that the Chinese military would likely be assigned in peacetime competition with the United States and in a hypothetical low-intensity conflict and (2) analyze potential vulnerabilities in execution of those tasks.

Report

Strategic Disruption by Special Operations Forces: A Concept for Proactive Campaigning Short of Traditional War

RAND researchers develop a new concept for strategic disruption by special operations forces, exploring how disruptive campaigns can frustrate an adversary’s preferred strategy and enable friendly gains across multiple instruments of national power.

Report

Preparing for Great Power Conflict: How Experience Shapes U.S. and Chinese Military Training

The authors examine how different direct and indirect experience has shaped the way the U.S. military and the People's Liberation Army approach training and whether these training approaches adequately prepare both militaries for great power conflict.

Report

Can Taiwan Resist a Large-Scale Military Attack by China? Assessing Strengths and Vulnerabilities in a Potential Conflict

In this report, the authors develop a framework for assessing a country's capacity to resist a large-scale attack and then use that framework to assess Taiwan's capacity to resist such an attack by China long enough for U.S. forces to intervene.

Report

The Backbone of U.S. Joint Operations: Army Roles in the Indo-Pacific

The authors of this report seek to provide an engaging and structured illustrated narrative to more clearly describe the U.S. Army's role throughout the Indo-Pacific region in the present day and into 2035.

Report

Gaining Victory in Systems Warfare: China's Perspective on the U.S.-China Military Balance

The authors provide a detailed analysis of the factors and components associated with People's Republic of China leaders' assessments of the Chinese People's Liberation Army's strength and the implications for the U.S.-China military balance.

Journal Article

"Killing Rats in a Porcelain Shop": PLA Urban Warfare in a Taiwan Campaign

This chapter considers the dedicated efforts the PLA has focused on since the late 2000s to develop an urban warfare capacity that appears to be directed at the capture of Taipei in a Cross-straits contingency.

Report

Planning for Significant Cyber Incidents: An Introduction for Decisionmakers

This report describes contingency planning for a significant cyber incident, focusing on the importance of planning, the process of developing a plan, and options for operationalizing it. It summarizes a companion how-to guide by the same authors.

Research Brief

Assessing Systemic Strengths and Vulnerabilities of China's Defense Industrial Base

This brief presents an assessment of the strengths and vulnerabilities of China's defense industrial base (DIB), using a methodology that could be applied to assess any country's DIB.

Report

Assessing Systemic Strengths and Vulnerabilities of China's Defense Industrial Base: With a Repeatable Methodology for Other Countries

The authors assess the strengths and vulnerabilities of China's defense industrial base (DIB) by designing and applying a comparative analytic structure that could be used to assess any country's DIB.

Report

Proceedings of the U.S.-Japan Socioeconomic Policy Research Exchange: The Rise of Telework Under COVID-19 and the Growth of Cryptocurrency

This volume captures insights from two conferences that brought together leading U.S. and Japanese experts to explore the implications of recent growth in teleworking, working from home, cryptocurrency, and blockchain in the United States and Japan.

Report

Democracy in the Asia-Pacific Region

In this report, RAND researchers study democratization and the factors that influence it among small Asian states, identify policies that can support democratization, and examine how external actors can help countries democratize.

Report

An Analysis of Alternative Approaches to Measuring Multinational Interoperability: Early Development of the Army Interoperability Measurement System (AIMS)

Researchers conducted an analysis of alternatives of interoperability measurement systems to support the U.S. Army in achieving interoperability with partners. Researchers identified a new approach, the Army Interoperability Measurement System.

Report

A Review of U.S. Army Non-Materiel Capability-Development Processes

This report analyzes non-materiel DOTLPF-P (doctrine, organization, training, leadership and education, personnel, facilities, policy) processes to help identify issues and changes to improve how the Army implements non-materiel solutions.

Report

China's Propensity for Innovation in the 21st Century: Identifying Indicators of Future Outcomes

In this report, the authors describe what information would be needed to better understand China's innovation trajectory in the coming decades. They examine the propensity in China's innovation system to realize its potential as an innovating nation.

Report

China's Grand Strategy: Trends, Trajectories, and Long-Term Competition

To explore what extended competition between the United States and China might entail out to 2050, the authors of this report assessed how successful China might be at implementing its grand strategy goals over the next three decades.