Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga — Publications
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Implications of Chinese Influence Operations for South Korea and the US-ROK Alliance
2026
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Total War on Taipei: China Explores Elevating Cognitive Effects Into Its Vision of Warfare
2026
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Understanding China’s National Security Decisionmaking: A Primer for U.S. Policymakers
2026
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The U.S.-Japan Alliance: Today and Beyond
2026
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Mission Command with Chinese Characteristics? Exploring Chinese Military Thinking About Command and Control in Future Warfare
2025
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Chinese Military Thinking at the Crossroads of Biological Security, Biotechnology, and Global Health
2024
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Cognitive Domain Operations Against Vietnam Hint at Broader Ambitions
2024
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Denial Is the Worst Except for All the Others: Getting the U.S. Theory of Victory Right for a War with China
2024
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Denial Without Disaster—Keeping a U.S.-China Conflict over Taiwan Under the Nuclear Threshold: Vol. 3, China's Evolving Nuclear Strategy and Nuclear Use Threshold(s)—and Their Future Risk Factors
2024
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Denial Without Disaster—Keeping a U.S.-China Conflict over Taiwan Under the Nuclear Threshold: Vol. 1, An Overview of Ideas for U.S. Conventional Joint Long-Range Strike in Support of Escalation Management
2024
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Denial Without Disaster—Keeping a U.S.-China Conflict over Taiwan Under the Nuclear Threshold: Vol. 4, Imagining Escalation Pathways to Chinese Nuclear First Use Via Analytic Strategic Theory, Historical Case Studies, and an Original Analytic Framework
2024
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Denial Without Disaster—Keeping a U.S.-China Conflict over Taiwan Under the Nuclear Threshold: Vol. 2, Surveying U.S. Conventional Joint Long-Range Strike Capabilities, Operational Objectives, and Employment Decisions
2024
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Dr. Li Bicheng, or How China Learned to Stop Worrying and Love Social Media Manipulation: Insights Into Chinese Use of Generative AI and Social Bots from the Career of a PLA Researcher
2024
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Exploring the Implications of Generative AI for Chinese Military Cyber-Enabled Influence Operations: Chinese Military Strategies, Capabilities, and Intent
2024
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Generative AI's Potential Role in Information Warfare
2024
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Managing Escalation: Lessons and Challenges from Three Historical Crises Between Nuclear-Armed Powers
2024
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Not Ready for a Fight: Chinese Military Insecurities for Overseas Bases in Wartime
2024
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The Threat From Overseas Chinese Military Bases Is Overblown
2024
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U.S. Military Theories of Victory for a War with the People's Republic of China
2024
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Assessing the Prospects for Great Power Cooperation in Europe and the Middle East
2023
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Assessing the Prospects for Great Power Cooperation in the Global Commons
2023
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Assessing the Prospects for Great Power Cooperation in the Indo-Pacific
2023
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Chinese Next-Generation Psychological Warfare: The Military Applications of Emerging Technologies and Implications for the United States
2023
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Exploring Chinese Thinking on Deterrence in the Not-So-New Space and Cyber Domains
2023
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A Framework of Deterrence in Space Operations
2023
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Little in Common: Prospects for U.S.-China and U.S.-Russia Security Cooperation
2023
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PLA Social Media Warfare and the Cognitive Domain
2023
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The Rise of Generative AI and the Coming Era of Social Media Manipulation 3.0: Next-Generation Chinese Astroturfing and Coping with Ubiquitous AI
2023
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Vanishing Trade Space: Assessing the Prospects for Great Power Cooperation in an Era of Competition — A Project Overview
2023
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Chinese and Russian Perceptions of and Responses to U.S. Military Activities in the Space Domain
2022
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Disrupting Deterrence: Examining the Effects of Technologies on Strategic Deterrence in the 21st Century
2022
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New Directions for Projecting Land Power in the Indo-Pacific: Contexts, Constraints, and Concepts
2022
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Powering the PLA Abroad: How the Chinese Military Might Fuel Its Overseas Presence
2022
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Security Cooperation in a Strategic Competition
2022
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Bomber Strike Packages with Chinese Characteristics
2021
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Chinese Disinformation Efforts on Social Media
2021
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Combating Foreign Disinformation on Social Media: Study Overview and Conclusions
2021
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Dare to Face the "Strong Enemy 强敌": How Xi Jinping Has Made the PLA Talk About the United States
2021
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Deciphering Chinese Deterrence Signalling in the New Era: An Analytic Framework and Seven Case Studies
2021
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Exploring Chinese Military Thinking on Social Media Manipulation Against Taiwan
2021
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Implementing Restraint: Changes in U.S. Regional Security Policies to Operationalize a Realist Grand Strategy of Restraint
2021
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What Deters and Why: The State of Deterrence in Korea and the Taiwan Strait
2021
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Alternative Worldviews: Understanding Potential Trajectories of Great-Power Ideological Competition
2020
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Through the Looking Glass: Chinese Open Source Assessments of North Korea's Ballistic Missile Capabilities
2020
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Where to Next? PLA Considerations for Overseas Base Site Selection
2020
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Borrowing a Boat Out to Sea: The Chinese Military's Use of Social Media for Influence Operations
2019
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Cognitive Domain Operations: The PLA's New Holistic Concept for Influence Operations
2019
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The Flag Lags but Follows: The PLA and China's Great Leap Outward
2019
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Hostile Social Manipulation: Present Realities and Emerging Trends
2019
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Netizen Opinion and China's Foreign Policy: Interpreting Narratives About North Korea on Chinese Social Media
2019
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Assessing the Conventional Force Imbalance in Europe: Implications for Countering Russian Local Superiority
2018
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China's Long-Range Bomber Flights: Drivers and Implications
2018
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Chinese Perceptions of and Responses to US Conventional Military Power
2018
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Chinese Bomber Flights Around Taiwan: For What Purpose?
2017
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People's Liberation Army Air Force Operations over Water: Maintaining Relevance in China's Changing Security Environment
2017
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China Dictates Terms for Sino-Japanese Relations During First Japanese Foreign Minister Visit in Four Years
2016
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China Signals Resolve with Bomber Flights Over the South China Sea
2016
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Deciphering PLA Media Commentaries on North Korea: All Show or Real Talk?
2015
