Tim McDonald — Publications

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Efforts to Lower Health Care Costs Through Informed Consumer Choice: A Synthesis of Findings from Minnesota

2026
COMPASS: A Framework for Navigating Systemic Risks

2025
Effective Negotiation Preparation for an Uncertain World: A Strategic and Tactical Guide

2025
Improving Modeling, Simulation, and Analysis Across the U.S. Space Force System Life Cycle

2025
More Effective and Efficient Modeling, Simulation, and Analysis Across the U.S. Space Force System Life Cycle

2025
Beginning with System Transformation in Mind: Toward a Theory of Policy Leadership for Systemic Challenges

2024
Getting Strategic Competition Right: Competing for the System

2024
Barriers Primary Care Clinic Leaders Face to Improving Value in a Consumer Choice Health Plan Design

2023
Campaigning in the Grey Zone: Towards a Systems Approach to Countering Hybrid Threats

2023
Health Care Affordability: Iron Triangle Or Iron Curtain?

2023
The Perilous Mix of Populism and Pandemics: Lessons from COVID-19

2023
Setbacks in the Quest for Universal Health Coverage in Mexico: Polarised Politics, Policy Upheaval, and Pandemic Disruption

2023
Competing for the System: The Essence of Emerging Strategic Rivalries

2022
Clinic Price Reductions in a Tiered Total Cost Benefit Design

2021
Forecasts and Decisions: A Commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021

2021
Leveraging Complexity in Great-Power Competition and Warfare: Volume II, Technical Details for a Complex Adaptive Systems Lens

2021
Leveraging Complexity in Great-Power Competition and Warfare: Volume I, An Initial Exploration of How Complex Adaptive Systems Thinking Can Frame Opportunities and Challenges

2021
Policy Analysis for Improving the Performance of Large Social Systems

2021
Punt Politics as Failure of Health System Stewardship: Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic Response in Brazil and Mexico

2021
Reforming the Teaching and Conducting of Policy Studies to Deal Better with Complex Systems

2021
Tiered Cost-Sharing for Primary Care Gatekeeper Clinics

2021
Implementing a New Mobility Vision for Rancho Higuera in a Deeply Uncertain, Fast-Changing World: Results from RAND Corporation Participatory Local Planning Workshops

2020
Understanding the Emerging Era of International Competition: Theoretical and Historical Perspectives

2018

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Tim McDonald — Publications

Efforts to Lower Health Care Costs Through Informed Consumer Choice: A Synthesis of Findings from Minnesota

COMPASS: A Framework for Navigating Systemic Risks

Effective Negotiation Preparation for an Uncertain World: A Strategic and Tactical Guide

Improving Modeling, Simulation, and Analysis Across the U.S. Space Force System Life Cycle

More Effective and Efficient Modeling, Simulation, and Analysis Across the U.S. Space Force System Life Cycle

Beginning with System Transformation in Mind: Toward a Theory of Policy Leadership for Systemic Challenges

Getting Strategic Competition Right: Competing for the System

Barriers Primary Care Clinic Leaders Face to Improving Value in a Consumer Choice Health Plan Design

Campaigning in the Grey Zone: Towards a Systems Approach to Countering Hybrid Threats

Health Care Affordability: Iron Triangle Or Iron Curtain?

The Perilous Mix of Populism and Pandemics: Lessons from COVID-19

Setbacks in the Quest for Universal Health Coverage in Mexico: Polarised Politics, Policy Upheaval, and Pandemic Disruption

Competing for the System: The Essence of Emerging Strategic Rivalries

Clinic Price Reductions in a Tiered Total Cost Benefit Design

Forecasts and Decisions: A Commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021

Leveraging Complexity in Great-Power Competition and Warfare: Volume II, Technical Details for a Complex Adaptive Systems Lens

Leveraging Complexity in Great-Power Competition and Warfare: Volume I, An Initial Exploration of How Complex Adaptive Systems Thinking Can Frame Opportunities and Challenges

Policy Analysis for Improving the Performance of Large Social Systems

Punt Politics as Failure of Health System Stewardship: Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic Response in Brazil and Mexico

Reforming the Teaching and Conducting of Policy Studies to Deal Better with Complex Systems

Tiered Cost-Sharing for Primary Care Gatekeeper Clinics

Implementing a New Mobility Vision for Rancho Higuera in a Deeply Uncertain, Fast-Changing World: Results from RAND Corporation Participatory Local Planning Workshops

Understanding the Emerging Era of International Competition: Theoretical and Historical Perspectives