Report
Leveraging Complexity in Great-Power Competition and Warfare
Aug 26, 2021
Volume II, Technical Details for a Complex Adaptive Systems Lens
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This report, the second of a two-volume series, provides technical details in support of the first volume, Leveraging Complexity in Great-Power Competition and Warfare: Volume I, An Initial Exploration of How Complex Adaptive Systems Thinking Can Frame Opportunities and Challenges. Three topics are covered in this volume: a literature review of complex adaptive system (CAS) research, a CAS lens user manual, and a Markov chain formulation of the adversary decision process.
Chapter One
Introduction to Volume II
Chapter Two
Complex Adaptive Systems
Chapter Three
Complexity Adaptive Systems Lens "User Manual"
Chapter Four
Markov Chain Formulation and Analysis of Decision Processes
This research was commissioned by the Air Force Research Laboratory and conducted within the Force Modernization and Employment Program of RAND Project AIR FORCE.
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