Pedro Nascimento de Lima — Publications
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Assessing Bias and Precision in State Policy Evaluations: A Comparative Analysis of Time-Varying Estimators Using Policy Simulations
2026
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The Best Screening Test Is the One That Gets Followed Up on
2026
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Cancer Diagnostic Delay Rates Associated With a Population-Based Screening Trial Evaluating a Cell-Free DNA Multicancer Early Detection Test
2026
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CRC-SPIN Version 3.0: An Updated Policy Model for Colorectal Cancer Screening That Includes the Serrated Pathway
2026
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A Framework for Evaluating Implementation, Impact, and Cost-Effectiveness of Wastewater and Environmental Surveillance
2026
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Simpler Is Better for Autograders: Toward Cost-Effective LLM Evaluations for Open-Ended Tasks
2026
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Benefits of Colorectal Cancer Screening Using FIT with Varying Positivity Thresholds by Age and Sex
2025
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COMPASS: A Framework for Navigating Systemic Risks
2025
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Cost-Effectiveness of Noninvasive Colorectal Cancer Screening in Community Clinics
2025
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The Future of Artificial Intelligence Policy Is the Future of Competing Demands
2025
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Incorporating Social Determinants of Health Into Agent-Based Models of HIV Transmission: Methodological Challenges and Future Directions
2025
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Modeled Cost-Effectiveness of a Rideshare Program to Facilitate Colonoscopy Completion
2025
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OPTIC R Repository and Tutorial for Creating Policy Wheel Data Visualizations
2025
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Rethinking Social and Economic Policy in the Age of General-Purpose Artificial Intelligence: Navigating the Cascading Impacts of AI Adoption
2025
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Strategies to Improve Detection of Novel Pandemic Pathogens: Cost Versus Detection Performance for Promising Pathogen-Agnostic Detection Workflows
2025
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Stress-testing US Colorectal Cancer Screening Guidelines: Decennial Colonoscopy from Age 45 Is Robust to Natural History Uncertainty and Colonoscopy Sensitivity Assumptions
2025
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The Triple-Effect of Colorectal Cancer Screening: Reducing Deaths, Government Spending and Mortality Disparities
2025
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Characteristics of a Cost-Effective Blood Test for Colorectal Cancer Screening
2024
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Commentary: Liquid Biopsy for Average-Risk Colorectal Cancer Screening
2024
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Cost-Benefit Analysis of Comprehensive Military Eye Examination Policies
2024
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Effectiveness and Cost-Effectiveness of Colorectal Cancer Screening With a Blood Test That Meets the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Coverage Decision
2024
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Effects of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on COVID-19 Transmission: Rapid Review of Evidence from Italy, the United States, the United Kingdom, and China
2024
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Emulator-Based Bayesian Calibration of the CISNET Colorectal Cancer Models
2024
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Modeling the Disruptive Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Nurses' Supply and Wages
2024
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The Value of Environmental Surveillance for Pandemic Response
2024
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Black-White Disparities in Colorectal Cancer Outcomes: A Simulation Study of Screening Benefit
2023
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Co-Designing Capabilities for a Robust Pandemic Response: Stakeholder Engagement for Visioning, Backcasting, and Evaluating New Decision-Support Capabilities
2023
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Exploring Intergenerational Wealth Transfer Dynamics with Agent-Based Models
2023
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Identifying Optimal Methods for Addressing Confounding Bias When Estimating the Effects of State-level Policies
2023
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Modeling America's Racial Wealth Disparities: Mathematical Models Help Chart Pathways for Closing Racial Wealth Gaps
2023
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NordICC Trial Results in Line with Expected Colorectal Cancer Mortality Reduction After Colonoscopy: A Modelling Study
2023
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optic: Simulation Tool for Causal Inference Using Longitudinal Data
2023
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Optimal Non-Pharmaceutical Pandemic Response Strategies Depend Critically on Time Horizons and Costs
2023
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Projected Long-Term Effects of Colorectal Cancer Screening Disruptions Following the COVID-19 Pandemic
2023
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Overcoming Compound Racial Inequity: Policies and Costs for Closing the Black-White Wealth Gap
2022
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Robust Decision Making in Health Policy: Applications to COVID-19 and Colorectal Cancer
2022
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Too Good to Be True? Evaluation of Colonoscopy Sensitivity Assumptions Used in Policy Models
2022
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Could Periodic Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Strategies Produce Better COVID-19 Health and Economic Outcomes?
2021
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Modeling COVID-19 Nonpharmaceutical Interventions: Exploring periodic NPI Strategies
2021
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Modeling Infectious Behaviors: The Need to Account for Behavioral Adaptation in COVID-19 Models
2021
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Reopening California: Seeking Robust, Non-Dominated COVID-19 Exit Strategies
2021
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Reopening Under Uncertainty: Stress-Testing California's COVID-19 Exit Strategy
2021
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Vulnerability, Inequity, and COVID-19: A Portrait of the Pandemic in Allegheny County: Tracking Evolving Disparities in Testing, Cases, Hospitalizations, Deaths, and the Ability to Practice Physical Distancing
2021
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The Health and Economic Impacts of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions to Address COVID-19: A Decision Support Tool for State and Local Policymakers
2020
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How Would a Better Diet Affect Health and Economic Outcomes in the United States?
2020
