Cost-Benefit Analysis of Special and Incentive Pays for Career Enlisted Aviators
Jan 7, 2021
The authors provide the foundation for developing an analytic capability for determining the efficient amount of special and incentive (S&I) pay for U.S. Air Force career enlisted aviators (CEAs) by documenting contextual information about CEAs, examining the retention profiles of CEAs and S&I pays available, and extending RAND's Dynamic Retention Model to create a version that models CEA retention profiles.
|PDF file||1.2 MB||
Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.
This report provides the foundation for developing an analytic capability for determining the efficient amount of special and incentive (S&I) pay for U.S. Air Force career enlisted aviators (CEAs). The authors documented contextual information about CEAs, examined the retention profiles of CEAs and S&I pays available, and extended RAND's Dynamic Retention Model to create a version that models CEA retention profiles.
Background analysis reveals that the career trajectories and retention profiles of certain CEAs vary across the different Air Force Specialty Codes (AFSCs). These differences in retention and compensation suggest that different retention models are needed for certain subgroups of CEAs.
The authors extended RAND's Dynamic Retention Model to model retention profiles of In-Flight Refueling, Aircraft Loadmasters, and Airborne Mission Systems Operators, three CEA categories that share similar retention profiles and make up more than half of the CEA population among the cohorts included in this study. To demonstrate how this type of model can be used to model retention behavior in response to changes in compensation, the authors conducted a simulation in which basic pay increased by 5 percent. Future work will further extend the retention models to include other CEA AFSCs and S&I pays, and these will then be used to conduct simulations to estimate the efficient amount of S&I pays for Air Force CEAs.
Background on Career Enlisted Aviators
Data and Retention Profiles
Dynamic Retention Model Overview, Estimates and Fit
Conclusion and Next Steps
Additional Background on Career Enlisted Aviators
Historical Selective Reenlistment Bonuses for CEAs
The research reported here was commissioned by AF/A1P and conducted by the Manpower, Personnel, and Training Program within RAND Project AIR FORCE.
This report is part of the RAND Corporation Research report series. RAND reports present research findings and objective analysis that address the challenges facing the public and private sectors. All RAND reports undergo rigorous peer review to ensure high standards for research quality and objectivity.
This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.
The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.