U.S.-China Tensions Are Unlikely to Lead to War
The U.S.-China relationship today may be trending towards greater tension, but the relative stability and overall low level of hostility make the prospect of an accidental escalation to war extremely unlikely.
May 1, 2017 The National Interest
Rocky Road Ahead Likely for U.S.-China Relations
The first summit with President Trump and China's President Xi Jinping downplayed contentious issues like Taiwan and the South China Sea. But the differences run deep, and frustration is palpable on both sides. Moreover, the competition for international leadership continues.
Apr 11, 2017 The Cipher Brief
Strategic Consequences of U.S. Withdrawal from TPP
America's withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership has exacerbated doubts about U.S. international leadership and America's role in Asia. Future trade agreements could face similar fates until they do a better job outlining how domestic workers can prosper.
Mar 27, 2017 The Cipher Brief
Why China Will Not Unify with Taiwan by 2020 — and Beijing Lacks Compelling Military Options
The prospects for peaceful unification of China and Taiwan continue to dim. Nothing Beijing has tried to woo or coerce Taiwan has worked. For those determined to compel Taiwan's unification, military subjugation remains a last option. But it would only worsen China's security environment.
Mar 21, 2017 Lawfare
China Stressed a Growing Interest in Global Trade and Governance at Davos
President Xi Jinping became the first Chinese leader to appear at the annual gathering of the World Economic Forum last week. He gave a keynote speech that defended global trade and criticized protectionism. His speech reflected, in part, the reality that China has profited enormously from decades of globalization.
Jan 24, 2017 U.S. News & World Report
Taking Stock of the U.S. Rebalance and the Contest for Influence in Asia
Since 2011, the U.S. has carried out measures designed to bolster its influence in Asia, a region that is projected to play a central role in driving global economic growth. Despite steady progress, with increased diplomatic outreach to China and its neighbors, doubts about the U.S. pivot to Asia have persisted.
Jan 19, 2017 World Politics Review
Cracks in the Chinese Powerhouse
Like most countries that have had rapid development, China is struggling to transition from a highly successful but unsustainable economic model. Beijing faces the additional challenge of executing difficult reforms in the face of an inhospitable global economy.
Dec 19, 2016 The Cipher Brief
The Risks of an Accelerating Rivalry Between China and Japan
China and Japan have a long history of antagonism but their competition for influence in Asia has recently expanded in the economic, diplomatic, and security domains. The U.S., although a staunch ally of Japan, has served as a mediator. Weakening the U.S. role could aggravate Sino-Japanese tensions to a destabilizing degree.
Dec 12, 2016 World Politics Review
Book Review: 'China's Military Transformation,' by You Ji
China's military has undeniably made tremendous strides in recent years. You Ji's book provides a collection of interesting and often perceptive observations on political and intellectual aspects of a rapidly modernizing People's Liberation Army.
Jul 5, 2016 H-Net
South China Sea Spat a Symptom of U.S.-China Jockeying for Advantage
A spate of high-profile diplomatic feuds and military actions related to the South China Sea has raised concern about the direction of U.S.-China relations. Neither country is well positioned politically or economically to engage in a long-term, antagonistic relationship, let alone a major conflict.
Jun 27, 2016 World Politics Review
Beijing Ups the Ante in South China Sea Dispute with HQ-9 Deployment
China's recent deployment of HQ-9 missiles to the Paracel Islands signals its determination to consolidate its gains in the South China Sea, regardless of criticism by the United States and its allies.
Mar 29, 2016 Jamestown Foundation's China Brief
China's Naval Modernization: Where Is It Headed?
The PLA Navy is expanding its capabilities and operations to reduce vulnerabilities in China’s near seas, but also to aggressively support its expanding global ambitions and challenge U.S. leadership in Asia.
Feb 10, 2016 World Politics Review
How China's New Russian Air Defense System Could Change Asia
The Russian S-400 TRIUMF surface to air missile entered the media spotlight when Moscow deployed the system after Turkey's shoot-down of a Russian plane near the Syria border on Thanksgiving Day. This episode demonstrated the S-400's potential as a weapon with strategic effects, a role that China may seek to exploit in future crises.
Jan 21, 2016 War on the Rocks
Book Review: 'Strategic Asia 2015–16, Foundations of National Power in the Asia-Pacific'
Which nations have the resources and motivations to either cooperate with or frustrate Washington's designs? What liabilities and assets reside with each country? The book, Strategic Asia 2015–16, surveys some of the most powerful nations in Asia with such questions in mind.
Nov 30, 2015 War on the Rocks
How Will China Respond to Future U.S. Freedom of Navigation Operations?
On October 27, the USS Lassen carried out the first freedom of navigation patrol to challenge China's territorial claims in the South China Sea. In assessing China's potential response to follow-on operations, the extremes of either complete inaction or a military attack can be ruled out.
Oct 29, 2015 Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative, CSIS
Xi's Visit Exposes Mismatch in U.S and Chinese Expectations
Chinese President Xi Jinping's U.S. visit this week appears to face serious headwinds. Contrasting U.S. and Chinese priorities will likely lead to disappointment on both sides.
Sep 23, 2015 World Politics Review
The 'Holistic Security Concept': The Securitization of Policy and Increasing Risk of Militarized Crisis
Reflecting critical developments under the Xi administration, China's recent 'Military Strategy' white paper signals a turn toward a potentially more coercive phase of China's rise.
Jun 27, 2015 China Brief
China's Emerging Vision for World Order
China's mulling of the risks and benefits of assuming greater global responsibility reveals its judgment that it can't entrust the protection of its interests to U.S. goodwill.
May 21, 2015 The National Interest
China's Island-Building Stirs Fears, but Creates Openings for U.S.
News of proposed Navy patrols nearby disputed islands claimed by China suggests that the United States is toughening its response to Beijing's assertive territorial claims in the South China Sea.
May 18, 2015 World Politics Review
A Thaw in Asia
Chinese President Xi Jinping's meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe this week raised hope for the near term that the leaders of both countries can ease tensions between Asia's two largest economies.
Nov 17, 2014 U.S. News & World Report
Engagement and Assurance: Debating the U.S.-Chinese Relationship
The risks of strategic rivalry with China deserve serious attention. But the best way to avoid the destabilizing effects of military competition is sustained U.S. engagement with China and the region -- precisely what U.S. policy has been seeking to achieve.
Nov 6, 2014 The National Interest
